Peace on the peninsula is not limited to nuclear

Author: Caixin Media

Trump’s so-called "extreme pressure" diplomacy is only at the limit of North Korea’s oil supply and coal exports, but there are considerable loopholes in North Korea’s illegal financial network channels.

Hanoi summit between US President the second time Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Il, despite previous analysis of its expected major breakthrough is not high, but the end to advance, The dramatic ending of fruitlessness is also quite eye-popping.

 

Judging from the news from the current parties, the failure of the talks is mainly due to the fact that the United States has frozen in the North Korean nuclear nucleus and even abandoned the nuclear and the United States has relaxed until the sanctions are waived. However, in the opinion of some US experts, even if the "Special Gold Council" made progress in the DPRK's nuclear abandonment, some major historical structural problems will become a major obstacle to the breakthrough of the DPRK nuclear issue and the peace issue on the entire peninsula.

 

On the afternoon of February 27th, before the official start of the "Special Gold Club", Sean King, an East Asian expert who discussed the DPRK nuclear issue at the University of Notre Dame and senior vice president of Park Strategies, pointed out that he personally abandoned the nuclear program and opened the economy. The outlook is more pessimistic. In his view, in addition to the deterrent effect of nuclear weapons, once the North Korean economy is fully open, the sharp contrast with South Korea and the outside world will have a fatal impact on the stability of the Pyongyang regime. In addition, even if the US and the DPRK can first reach an agreement on the mutual office, it is far from the mutual recognition of diplomacy.

 

"Currently, both Pyongyang and Seoul claim to be the sole representative of the Korean nation, and the strong nationalist tendencies of the Weng government, the diplomatic recognition of North Korea will highlight the nationalism of the peninsula. As the host country of the summit, Vietnam It was also in 1975 that North and South Vietnam unified the issue of legal representation before it was possible to initiate diplomatic relations with the United States," King said.

George Lopez, another senior security expert and professor of the University of Notre Dame's Peace Research Program, pointed out that President Trump's so-called "extreme pressure" diplomacy is at best only in North Korea's oil supply and coal exports. To the limit, there are considerable loopholes in North Korea’s illegal financial network channels. “It’s far from the limit pressure.”

 

In other words, after the US-DPRK summit broke down, the United States may realize that the pressure on North Korea is not enough. It will continue to demand more sanctions and force North Korea to disclose and freeze more nuclear facilities. Only in this way can the US consider offering relaxation sanctions and providing possible financial assistance. Lopez also stressed the importance of asking North Korea to return to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT).

 

North Korea withdrew from the treaty in April 2003. The treaty sets out the relevant provisions for the cessation of the nuclear arms race and nuclear disarmament, and the placement of peaceful nuclear facilities under the international guarantees of the International Atomic Energy Agency. And if North Korea returns to the treaty, it will help to form a constraint on North Korea’s nuclear weapons at the international level.